Herzog, S., M., Litvinova, A., Yahosseini, K. S., Tump, A. N., & Kurvers, R. H. J. M. (2019). The ecological rationality of the wisdom of the crowds. In R. Hertwig, T. Pleskac, T. Pachur, & the Center for Adaptive Rationality (Eds.), Taming uncertainty (pp. xx–xx). Boston, MA: MIT Press. doi:XXXXXXX

Please provide your estimates to the five questions below. It doesn’t matter whether your answers are correct, so please do not look them up—just make your best guess. In the next step, your estimates will be aggregated with all the estimates that have already been made by others. Then you can see whether the crowd—of which you are now a part—outperforms not only your estimates, but also those of most crowd members.


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